Thursday, October 30, 2014

Frey’s Locks: Week 9 NFL picks


Wow.  I didn't see that Colts game coming last week. 

However, I saw the crap out of the other 3 so my record against spread improves yet again!

Few, this week, are the games that jump out at me as no-brainers.   

Therefore, I am taking the always risky move of putting my money on road dogs.  Lots of reward and lots of risk with this move but 2 of the teams I like to win outright and the other 2 are getting way too many points.



Jacksonville (+13) @ Cincinnati

For a Bengals team coming off a 4 week stretch in which they looked like mediocrity's dim-witted drunken brother, giving 13 points against anyone not named the “Ragin Cajuns” is way too generous.

Only in Jacksonville or Oakland can you see 60,000 people collectively do this for 2 straight hours. 

It almost makes me laugh out loud just saying this, but the Bengals may be looking ahead to a meaningful game against <chuckle> Cleveland next week…..


San Diego (+2.5) @ Miami

Let me see if I am understanding this correctly:

Aside from a week 1 win against a Patriots team that was completely lost, the Dolphins have lost every game they played against winning teams.  Last week, the got punched in the face and needed 2 pick-sixes to beat the hapless Jags.

Conversely, the Chargers are coming off a road loss against the best team in football, are 5-3, and have been extremely competitive in all but 1 game despite a brutal schedule.  To top it off, they have an extra 3 days to rest and prepare.



Not only do I think the Chargers will cover but I think they’ll win by a TD or more.


Oakland (+15.5) @ Seattle

Preparing to play the Raiders in the middle of the season is kind of like preparing your kids’ lunch in the middle of the school year. 

The effort really isn't required since they won’t eat half the crap anyway so you do it really half-assed.



Half-assed is always good enough to beat a dipshit team like the Raiders, but not good enough to win by 16.


Baltimore (+1.5) @ Pittsburgh

Few teams in the NFL are more schizophrenic than the Steelers.  

One week, they get lambasted by the <chuckle> Cleveland Browns .  Then they storm out of the tunnel and absolutely violate the Colts .

The Ravens aren’t great, but they are consistently competent.   

This game may come down to whether or not Pittsburgh wears their Bumblebee Man uniforms. 

Me No Gusta



Since I don’t know how the Steelers will dress, I’ll just pick the better team.

Season Record Against the Spread: 19-13  

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