Sunday, January 3, 2016

Frey's NFL Picks of the Week: Week 17

One of the things that makes NFL football the greatest sport on the planet (aside from the fact that it confounds foreigners) is the lovely dichotomy of certainty and randomness that both soothes and excites the senses each season.

It is the yin and the yang.  

It is the sweet and the sour.

It is exactly what we need to bring balance and purpose to life in a way that is real and observable.

We enjoy the peace of knowing that some things will never change.

God hates Cleveland and they will suck.

New England will, through a combination of competence and egregious cheating, be good.

Buffalo will under-perform no matter the coach.

Phillip Rivers will be a wang.

Saint Louis will play just well enough to NOT fire Jeff Fisher.

Conversely, unlike other major sports where, more often than not, only 3 or 4 teams can be seriously considered as legitimate contenders, everyone has a chance to do something.

Did anyone really expect that the Arizona Cardinals would go 14-2?

Looking at the preseason projections, not a single analyst from ESPN or CBS picked the Redskins to win the NFL East.  Your NFC East champion?  You got!  The Washington Dumpsterfires.

I was certain that the 'Skins would be terrible this year.  By Odin I love the NFL!


Peyton Manning tears his planter fascia and then looks like Mr. Burns from the Simpsons.  Drew Brees has the same injury and throws for 412 yards and 3 TD's.  I certainly didn't expect that development.

As the final games of the regular season commence, it seems only fitting that my experiment regarding trap games would be inconclusive.  This is the NFL.  Nothing is certain.  Except that God hates Cleveland.


New England Patriots (-8)  @ Miami Dolphins

You know that when the wives of Dolphins players are tweeting about how much Ryan Tennehill sucks you are in trouble.

You know that when the organization and other players do not come out vociferously in support of their starting QB that you are in deep #$%&.

The Dolphins are a diaper fire, the Patriots need this game to secure home field throughout the playoffs, and the ONLY thing Miami can now do to screw themselves worse is to win and mess up their draft position.

Take the cheating bastards to win and cover on the road.

The Dolphins await the opening kickoff in a game the Patriots desperately need.



Oakland Raiders (+7)  @ Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City is rolling no doubt but the nature of their victories and the quality of their opposition have been less than stellar.

The Raiders are not shamefully bad for the first time since Al Gore invented the internet and would really like to end the season on the right note.

The Chefs still need this game to win this division with a Broncos loss and to avoid the possibility of playing in Cincinnati next week.

They'll be playing so uptight that you couldn't squeeze a greased BB up their butts.



They may win, but it will be close.


Washington Redskins  @ Dallas Cowboys (-3)

The Redskins have locked up their playoff seeding and this game is totally meaningless to them.

The Cowboys could really benefit from a loss this week in terms of securing an improved draft position.

So we have a team that needs to lose vs. a team that doesn't care if it wins and will likely play scrubs to avoid injury.

I just don't think the mummy of Ramses II is smart enough to order a home defeat to a hated rival.

Regardless, anyone who watches this game is an idiot.


Jacksonville Jaguars  @ Houston Texans (-3)

And so, good friends, we come to the trap game of the year.

While statistically it is unlikely that the Colts can unseat the Texans as division champion even with a Houston loss, this game is important to the men down south for a number of reasons.

1) Their QB is back for the first time in 2 weeks and needs a good performance to give confidence to his team leading into a probably 1st round matchup with a red-hot Chiefs team.

2)  A home loss to a mediocre opponent the week before the playoffs is OK for perennial playoff teams like New England, Denver, or Seattle.  Houston can't be pulling that crap.  the are Houston.

3) Going into the playoffs 8-8 just looks stupid.  Don't do it.

It seems pretty easy on paper right?




Week 16 Record:  1-2-1
Season Record: 37-25-2
Trap Game Record: 9-7

No comments:

Post a Comment