Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Week 11 Power Rankings

There are few things in this life more tragic than a sacrifice made in vain.

It was both painful and frustrating to watch Ciera attempt to simultaneously talk herself both into and out of voting out her own mom and then, ultimately, allowing someone else to make the decision for her.

The decision was the ticket to victory, not the act itself.

Any monkey can vote with the majority but if Ciera truly had designs upon the million bucks, it should have occurred to her that she would need to tell the final jury something other than she sucks in challenges and lounges around camp like she has dysentery.

As it stands, she must conceive of and successfully implement a move to oust at least 2 power players if she is to have any hope of bringing home the prize.

In addition to having squandered her best hope for jury votes, she still reaps all the downside of the decision:

1)     She no longer has the emotional bulwark that her mother provided

2)     She becomes threatening to the other players because she agreed to vote out her own mother.  I mean, how the hell can you trust someone who would stab their own mom in the back? 

Ciera is our big drop of the week.  She’s too sneaky to hitch your wagon to.  She’s too likeable with too great a need for the coin to take to the final 3.  She is starting to sound like someone who wants to make some moves but may lack the delicacy required to do so gracefully.

Let’s get ranking!

#1) Caleb

I do not believe that he’s the best candidate to go home with the million, but his incredibly deft answer at tribal regarding Monica shows that he can wield a gilded tongue when necessary.

I suspect that having to placate that bitch Colton all the time has made him a skillful dissembler.

Anyway, for a savvy player like Caleb to be this far off the radar this far into the game is quite an accomplishment.  I have him getting 2^nd in the end but for now he’s the safest on the island.

#2) Gervase

Gervase is still my bet to win it all but his close association with Tyson and the growing feeling among others that he is a pretty dangerous cat puts him in more immediate danger than Caleb.

He needs to turn on Tyson but cannot do it too early or he’ll be without allies.

Tyson has to be offed not this week but next and, unlike Ciera’s situation, Gervase needs to make it look like he had nothing to do with it to ensure a friendly jury.

Keep your distance....but don't look like you're trying to keep your distance....I don't know, fly casual!

 

#3) Hayden

Aras’ ignominious departure from Redemption Island has given Big Brother new life.

He’s not making any moves so nobody fears him strategically and his underwhelming challenge performances are actually working in his favor right now.

Hayden just needs to sit back, smile, nod, play dumb, and not get involved in any strategery right now and he’ll be safe.

Next week though, he needs to make a big move or he’ll be watching people fall over themselves to take Katie and Monica to the finals with them.

#4) Katie

Is there anyone in their right mind who doesn’t want Katie next to them in front of the final jury?

I’ve heard the argument that nobody has any cause to dislike her and this makes her a dangerous foe.

The fact is, unless you are a monumental bastard (Russel Hantz) or a clumsy backstabbing traitor (Dawn Meehan/Steph Whatshername/Coach) you have nothing to fear from the Katies of the world.

Survivor contestants generally shy away from giving a million bucks to non-entities unless under extreme duress.

#5)   Monica

"Nothing is more dangerous than a friend without discretion; even a prudent enemy is preferable."
--Jean de La Fontaine

She is a woman without any allies and, as a result, she wields no power.  No power+ No friends =No threat.

On the other hand, she is unpredictable and untrustworthy.

If you are someone who values your game, taking Monica along for a ride to the final 3 is an incredibly dangerous proposition.

Like Katie, Monica has no chance at winning a million bucks.  Therefore, they are each other’s greatest enemies as the power players will need to decide who is to be their cannon fodder.

In the spirit of Gervase’s observations from a couple weeks ago, the best weapon is the one that doesn’t blow up in your face when you have to finally use it.

Katie is the safer play for 3^rd but Monica is actually capable of winning challenges that don’t involve eating Panda butts and Giraffe intestines.
 

#6)  Tyson

I believe (as of today) that Tyson wins if he gets to the final 3 but he has the toughest road to get there.

Everyone knows he’s calling the shots and it is human nature to start feeling resentful.  He’s got a huge target on his back just begging for a few poison darts to be cast his way. 

To further compound his already tenuous situation, Tyson appears to be developing the opinion that everyone else on the island is an impotent baboon who lacks the balls or the brains to knock him off his throne.

He’d better smarten up fast or he’ll be joining the last Yezhinkosopolis brother on the island of fewer coconuts.

Moreover, if Vytas wins and gives another clue out to Katie, she’s gonna realize someone else has the idol and that may cause some unwanted fallout.

Still, he has 3 things working in his favor:

1)     He has the idol and even though Laura M(outh) is off the island, he still might catch wind of a plot and play it.

2)     Even with a torn rotator cuff, he’s still better in most challenges than half the remaining people.

3)     People fear power either real or perceived.  If a safe vote (Monica, Katie, Ciera) presents itself, there is a good chance they will seize upon the opportunity to protect their own hides.  This only needs to happen for 2 more weeks and he’s guaranteed final 5.

#7) Ciera

Nearly 30 years ago, an extremely wise man once spoke of walking down a road:

“If you walk right side?  Safe.”

“If you walk left side?  Safe”

“If you walk middle <squish> just like grape.”

Ciera’s half-assed manner of voting off mommy violated this most sacred observation.

When playing for a million dollars, either you Survivor do: Yes; or you Survivor do: No; But you Survivor do, “guess so”, sooner or later <squish> just like grape.

Mr. Miyagi thinks you blew it and so do I.

 

       

Redemption Island:

a)    Vytas

The grumpiest yoga guy in the world wins again here. If he gives the clue to Katie again it could make for interesting times back at camp once she figures out that someone else has it.

b)    Laura M

It would be funny just to see you come back in a screw over your daughter again!

c)     Tina

As shocked as I was that she won last week, I will be equally as surprised if she can do it twice in a row.

Week 2: #10 of 17 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 3: #16 out of 16 quit game

Week 3: #10 of 15 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Week 4: #12 of 14 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 5: #10 of 13 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 6: #2 of 12 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 7: #10 of 11 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Week 8: #10 of 10 voted off at tribal council:  Picked winner at Redemption Island

Week 9: #9 of 9 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge

Week 9: #8 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge

Week 10: #7 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Week 10 Power Rankings

If I could predict the outcome of sporting events or stock purchases with a fraction of the skill that I have shown this season I would be writing this from my lanai on the North Shore of some tropical island paradise.

Now that I have transitioned seamlessly to the topic of islands, I should like to point out that Vytas’ Sam Kinison act at tribal council following Aras’ ouster you'll see what I mean by clicking here, coupled with his sulking and snippy comments, has changed my opinion of the guy.

He has the look now of a pouty and unstable malcontent.  Vytas obviously feels himself to be the emotional, spiritual, and intellectual superior of everyone else on the island and it galls him to be sitting next to his little brother (whom he blames for his situation) when unstable and unfocused baboons like Monica or complete non-entities like Katie advance for yet another week.

If Vytas does manage, somehow, to get back in the game, his little outbursts and smug self-superiority are not going to buy him many jury votes.

Tina is in even worse shape as she now finds herself competing against the Glorflakentsipikis brothers for a ticket back into camp.

Much like Vytas, she played a near perfect game and then proceeded to get pompous, allow desire and emotion instead of reality to guide her decisions, and then yelled at everyone when events transpired differently than she had hoped.

Tina, at least, appears to be smart enough to smile and thank everyone before she sauntered off to meet the Brothers Garfunklopolis for her inevitable defeat.

This week is the week for the big move.  Everybody with even a rudimentary understanding of this game knows that Ciera MUST instigate, nurture, and execute the blindsiding of her own mom.  It is the difference between obscurity and immortality.  There is no middle ground.  It must be done. 

As I mentioned last week, it is not enough for her to agree to or simply go along with a plan to wipe her mom, she has to conceive the notion and remain the driving force behind it.  If she can do this, she can win the million bucks.

However, since the editing crew is leaking snippets of Ciera bitching about her mother I smell a red herring…

**Author’s Note:  I saw a preview and it looks like they are doing that “hang on to the rope while sting on the edge of the pier” challenge.  The laws of physics suggest that the lighter players with the shorter arms are going to win, eliminating Hayden, Gervase, and Caleb.  Tyson has a separated shoulder so he’ll crack pretty quick I think.  Katie and Ciera are just big sissies so they’ll probably drop. 

I think either Monica or Laura wins this challenge. 

Let’s Rank!

#1) Gervase

I hate the Philadelphia Eagles.

Now that I’ve got that out of the way, I can happily keep Gervase at the top this week.

Watching him eat those grubs was funny as hell also.

#2) Caleb

He’s even starting to look like “Silent Bob” from Clerks.

Caleb’s gonna have to talk eventually but he may be in front of the final jury before he has to.

The thought of a million bucks in the hands of the blackhearted Colton is chilling to me so I just can’t root for this guy.

#3) Ciera

Vote out your mom!  VOTE HER OUT AND WIN SURVIVOR!

#4)  Tyson

He’s still got enough power and there are still enough targets to keep him here awhile longer yet.

Despite his disdain for just about everyone else on the island, he has not yet made it clear that he hates his tribe mates so he may have learned something from his last 2 sojourns to the tropics.

He needs to wipe out Laura M, followed by Katie or Monica to ensure that a “girls plus Silent Bob” alliance doesn’t pop up before turning on his alliance.  He better knock out one of his allies in the next 2 weeks or they’re gonna hit him.

Get the idol ready Tyson.  You’ll need it soon.

#5)   Monica

Dealing with Monica is like dealing with a violently crazy person.  If you can take away anything that she can use to hurt you or anyone else (Katie/Laura/Caleb) and isolate her in a padded room, she is no longer a threat,

She’s unpredictable.  She’s emotional.  She’s annoying.

She’s a great 3^rd person to take to the end.

#6) Hayden

Hayden finds himself in an unenviable position here.

He’s in shape, funny, and hasn’t pissed anyone off.

Moreover, the remaining tribe members may start to panic if the Routisikisoplis brothers go on a Redemption run and decide that sending the Big Brother over is the best way to end the Greek Empire.

He’s got a week or two but I think that’s about it unless he can engineer the removal of Tyson first.

#7)  Laura M

She’s just as loud and annoying as Monica but even her daughter thinks that she’s dangerous.

I put her ahead of Katie because I think she might win the immunity challenge this week.

#8) Katie

Katie’s biggest problem isn’t that people know who she is and want her gone.

Katie’s biggest problem is that nobody knows where her loyalties lay now that her Mom is out.

She needs to convince people that they are more likely to make it to the finals by hitching their wagon to a reliable non-entity (Katie) than to a mercurial loudmouth (Monica).

She’s desperately playing for 3^rd.  Nothing more.  To get to the end, she needs to orchestrate not the removal of threats, but the removal of idiots or candy-asses who might battle her for the 3^rd spot.

Redemption Island:

a)    Aras

The greater of the Herculeocropolis brothers will zen his way through the next challenge

b)    Vytas

Captain grumpypants, even if he bitches incessantly about his brother, women, and aardvarks throughout the challenge, should still be able to outperform Tina.

c)     Tina

How much do you wanna bet that she already burned through all her Survivor money from Season 2? 

Isn’t it like 10K to be the first member of the jury?

Week 2: #10 of 17 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 3: #16 out of 16 quit game

Week 3: #10 of 15 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Week 4: #12 of 14 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 5: #10 of 13 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 6: #2 of 12 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 7: #10 of 11 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Week 8: #10 of 10 voted off at tribal council:  Picked winner at Redemption Island

Week 9: #9 of 9 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge

Week 9: #8 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge

Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Week 9 Power Rankings

You know, if there is one thing I dislike more than crying doctors with guilty consciences, it is that dumbass pole challenge.

Anyone with a foot size greater than “4” is screwed no matter what level of strength and endurance you have. 

I think the crying doctor got jobbed on that challenge to get back in the game.  In fact, Kat had a better chance of assembling a fission pile to create a controlled nuclear reaction than John had at beating Laura M. to get back in the game.

On the bright side though, watching Ciera lay a trail of verbal napalm (internally at least) when her loud-mouth Mom got back in the game was amusing enough to eliminate the lingering stench of injustice.

In retrospect, there is not a substantial amount of movement to the rankings this week but, if the previews are anything more than a series of Red herrings, Tina may be using her tongue to dig a grave for herself.

In today’s rankings, I am going to place each person where they belong and detail their best play if they want to win the pot.

#1) Gervase

He’s got the look of a “Grima Wormtongue” from Lord of the Rings. 

Gervase sits behind the throne and whispers in the ear of the king (Tyson).

Steal more coconuts M'Lord

 

Unlike Grima, nobody believes he’s making any decisions and, hence, will not be held accountable. 

Power without responsibility is the dream of everyone in both Survivor and in life.

Gervase’s best play now is to continue to be Tyson’s lap-dog, only whispering advice if his more boisterous friend starts allowing emotion to drive the strategy. 

Tyson is the type of guy whose ego will enjoy taking some credit for more creative moves.  Gervase needs to let him bask in the limelight.

In a couple of weeks, the remaining tribe is going to start getting really scared of Tyson.  That’s when he wipes him out.

If he can avoid the idol, Gervase is in a great spot.

#2) Caleb

This man only speaks every 3^rd episode.

Neither liked nor disliked, feared nor disdained, Caleb is the prototypical “lay-low” Survivor contestant.

In fact, he’s Gervase with less power and an immensely unlikable fiancé.  That’s why he’s #2.

If Caleb can keep his yap shut for another 5 weeks and let other people make cannon fodder of themselves, I can see him sitting in front of the final jury.

#3) Ciera

Is it possible that Wile E. Coyote is going to catch herself some roadrunner?

If Ciera blindsides Mommy she will have earned this card

 

If she can get her mom to shut the hole in her face around camp and at tribal council I strongly believe Ciera makes it to the end of this game.

She’s savvy, people like her, and she is completely useless when it comes to any individual immunity challenge.  Unless, of course, Laura M. is the worst cook in history and Ciera wolfs down the upcoming “delicacies” like Ricky Williams hits a bag of Cheetos.

I believe her best play is this:

Vote out her own mom.  Immediately.

If she does this, she removes the target of having a loved one in her corner, keeps Laura M. from further continuing her campaign of verbal sabotage, and makes her a badass at the final tribal council.

Regardless of what game anyone else has played or claims to have played this season, if she can get up in front of the jury and say, “I blindsided my own mom”, she’s gonna get some votes.

#4) Hayden

With Kat gone, Hayden looks and acts like Andy Dufresne from Shawshank Redemption once he crawled through the pipe filled with poop to his freedom.

Kat's Gone, Game On!

 

However, his freedom is somewhat illusory as physically imposing, likable millionaires who already one a reality show are eventually going to get the attention of others.

If Hayden wins this game it will be a hell of an accomplishment.

His best play now is to buy a couple of weeks by letting the power people snipe at each other, use whatever influence he has without looking like a player to steer votes toward physical threats exclusively, and then go on a massive winning streak in immunity challenges.

It can be done, but it will be tough.

#5) Katie

Well…..

She’s looking a little skinnier than when she first started.  I guess that’s something she can take with her back to the states when this is all over.

I don’t know what game Katie is playing and either does Katie. 

Nobody is scared of this of this woman in any way, shape, or form.  She’ll make it a few more weeks at the very least.

Katie’s best play is to stay away from whatever drama Tina wants to drum up after the Aras blindside.  If she can get hook up with her old buddy Ciera at that point and engineer a little parenticide, she can claim to have done something in this game other than suck.

That having been said, she’s got no shot of winning a million bucks.  No shot.

#6)  Tyson

Tyson has a very good chance of winning this game if he makes it to the jury.

Last week, I would have said there is little chance of this occurring given the high level of his scheming but finding the idol and playing it right can potentially get this guy over the top.

Tyson’s best play is thus:

1)     Don’t get caught stealing coconuts

2)     Don’t tell ANYONE about the idol and use it to blindside someone at a critical moment

3)     Step off the gas and let someone get some of the attention

#7)   Monica

You can only get so far in this game jumping from the bottom of one alliance to the bottom of another.

You can even less far if you undertake this strategy and you are married to Brad Culpepper.

Monica has her wish.  She’s no longer the 5^th one out of the other alliance.  She’s now the 5^th one out of the other alliance and nobody trusts or likes her anymore.

Her only hope is that people attack her viscously back at camp for her betrayal so she can obtain some sympathy from the people with whom she just joined.

I can’t speak for anyone else, but Tyson, Ciera, and Gervase don’t strike me as the “sympathetic” type when it comes to winning a million bucks.

#8) Tina

This woman has made some serious missteps in the mid-game.

She is already a target for being a previous winner and for still having her daughter on the island.

Tina should have been forging a consortium of people with loved ones remaining, recruiting them with the very real probability that the single folk would systematically wipe one or the other until all blood-partnerships were dissolved.

It was bad enough suggesting to Monica that she has “earned” the right to be at the bottom of their alliance of loved ones, but (if the previews are to be believed) she goes back to camp and starts yelling at people after the vote.

Yep.  That’s some solid strategy there.

Her best hope now is to construct a time machine out of coconut husks and return to the night she told Monica that she’s at the ass-end.  I think Tina really snatched defeat from the jaws of victory here.

#9)  Vytas

My original thought was that Vytas was safer now that Aras is gone but after more careful consideration, it doesn’t matter.  The rest of the power brokers will want to send him to Exile Island knowing that only one of the brothers Greek can make it back.

After the last vote, it would be an absolute catastrophe if the rest of the tribe voted off Aras, turned on each other thinking that Vytas has been neutered, and then seeing Aras pop back in the game in 3-4 weeks.

Vytas’ best play is to control his emotions and go back to what got him this far:  Trust and empathy.

If these people were smart, he would have been gone weeks ago so he needs to know that there is hope here.  Be vulnerable and kind, share the wisdom of the streets, and hope someone does or says something stupid to start a cat fight or a battle of wills.

Plus, I think I remember Vytas saying that he used to heat out of dumpsters when he was on the drugs so maybe he kicks ass at the eating challenge tonight.....

    

Redemption Island:

a)    Aras

I’m not sure who he will be facing, but I think he’ll probably beat them.
 

Week 2: #10 of 17 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 3: #16 out of 16 quit game

Week 3: #10 of 15 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Week 4: #12 of 14 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 5: #10 of 13 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 6: #2 of 12 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 7: #10 of 11 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Week 8: #10 of 10 voted off at tribal council:  Picked winner at Redemption Island

Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Week 8 Power Rankings

Poor Kat. 

Poor dumb Kat.

Her last time out, she fell into her expected position of “pawn”, was part of someone else’s grand strategy, and then sacrificed upon the Alter of Expediency hen the pieces dwindled.

Assuming that this game would be played in a similar manner and determined to control her own destiny, she brazenly jumped the gun, then overplayed her hand, and, in the end, was the same scared little girl we saw a couple seasons ago.

Much like the French army at the beginning of World War II, Kat devoted all of her energies and considerable emotions into fighting the last war.

And just like the French, she was either unwilling or unable to flexibly alter her strategy when (or if in Kat’s case) she discovered that the last war was not THIS war.

Maybe in 10 years, after gaining some valuable life experience and spending some time practicing puzzles with 4th and 5^th grade Girl Scout troops, Kat might make a passable survivor.  This latest fiasco shows she was clearly not ready and was likely nothing more than the cute blonde dating the Big Brother winner.

The second she walked into the challenge uncertain of her ability to read and convinced that Hayden was going to fire her for being a dumbass, you knew she was beat.  And so did her opponents. 

If I had to bet 5 large on whether Dipshit Eddie from last season or Kat would finish that puzzle first, I would definitely leave the casino with a cool 10K in my pocket after the hairy guy who traded a million bucks for a donut kicked her ass.

Once Kat mercifully departed the island, we saw the feminist cause get set back 100 years as Vytas parlayed every known stereotype about women into a trip to the merge. 

Not only did he artfully manipulate a powerful cadre of women from a position of almost unimaginable weakness, he gleefully walked us through the process as it occurred.  I would not be surprised if a number of social conservative US states have begun exploring legislation to take away a woman’s right to vote.

Men everywhere took a little bit more of the covers last Wednesday thanks to the cunning of Vytas and the criminal foolishness of Rasputin’s Wife.

If there has been any episode sadder than the naïve agony of Kat, it was seeing a self-professed introvert (Laura B) proudly tout her new-found confidence and social skills only to see everything she thought she learned backfire so spectacularly.  

I can already see her scrambling back into the safety of her shell.

In all the years since I first discovered the joy of watching people beat each other up and then feverishly plot the demise of comrades while afflicted with starvation and disease, I have never seen a season as wide open as this one at the merge.

Truth be told, I have no idea what’s going to happen given the existing dynamic and this places all of us at the mercy of the editing crew as I know how reliant all of you are upon my wisdom.

Like any skilled prognosticator (or charlatan), I shall begin the process by sticking to observable truths and going from there.

#1) Gervase

What we know:

1)     He’s not coming off as enough of a strategic or physical threat to be targeted….yet.

2)     He’s involved enough to avoid the charge that he is simply someone else’s lapdog.

3)     His primary ally is louder and more flamboyant, drawing the slings and arrows.

4)     He’s well fed from stealing coconuts.

5)     He may not, in fact, drown this season.

#2) Caleb

What we know:

1)     He surfaced long enough to eliminate someone that most people disliked.

2)     He disappeared from the scene just as quickly.

3)     He’s not physically threatening

4)     He’s not overly involved in any scheming or infighting aside from that of a sounding board or swing vote

5)     He still needs to make people forget he’ll share his coin with Colton if he wants to get paid.

#3) Hayden

What we know:

1)     He’s got no power so isn’t a threat to anyone strategically.

2)     He’s got the ability to win a few individual immunities without getting people worried.

3)     He doesn’t have Kat hanging around to complicate things so is free of the “his only ally is his loved one” stigma.

4)     He needs to find an alliance.  Soon.

5)     He’s already won a social reality show so people will eventually get scared of him in a few weeks.

#4) Ciera

What we know:

1)     She’s in a pretty good alliance.

2)     She’s utterly harmless.

3)     She’s seemingly likable.

4)     She has options even if her Mom makes it back into the game

5)     She becomes much less harmless if her Mom makes it back into the game

#5) Katie

What we know:

1)     She might be the only woman not to totally jump on the “Vytas is a sweatheart” bandwagon.

2)     She, like Hayden, is utterly powerless right now and no threat to anyone.

3)     She couldn’t win a challenge if everyone else on the island contracted dysentery.

4)     This is good as nobody is likely to gun for her.

5)     This is bad because she may eventually need immunity.

There is not a single scenario that I can imagine aside from Vytas schmoozing and then backstabbing her that gets her off the island.

#6) Tina

What we know:

1)     She is infatuated with Vytas.  If she were about 70 years younger this would matter.

2)     She may be one of the few players savvy enough to take advantage of having a loved one by their side.

3)     Neither Tina nor her Daughter are on anyone’s radar….yet.

4)     She has some power as a potentially ally in the Tyson-Aras schism.

5)     People know she’s smart (aside from her soft spot for Vytas) and will need ot be dealt with eventually.

#7)   Monica

What we know:

1)     She’s gone from “powerful voice” to “woman without an ally”.

2)     She’s skilled enough in challenges to get a surprise immunity but not skilled enough to scare anyone.

3)     She’s completely lost with Biff off the island.

4)     It has now become really stupid to keep burning those clues.

5)     Like Caleb, winning a million is going to be tough due to her choice of spouse.

#8)  Vytas

What we know:

1)     The ladies love them some Vytas.

2)     The men hate them some Aras.

3)     He’ll be second fiddle for awhile

4)     He’ll be less dangerous, and hence, safer, once Aras is gone.

5)     Nobody wants to sit next to him when this goes to the jury.

#9)  Tyson

What we know:

1)     He’s a coconut thief.
2)   He's scared of Aras
3)   He's strong in challenges, is a strategic threat, and wants everyone else to be scared of Aras.
4)   He's the driving force campaigning to get rid of someone.  This draws attention to him.
5)   He's starting to exhibit some of his old ass-holery.  He needs to steal some of Aras' zen instead of stealing coconuts.

 

#10)  Aras

What we know:

1)     He's overconfident.  Sitting on a cliff doing yoga imagining yourself winning is not a solid plan
2)   He knows people like him.
3)   He forgot that having people like you is not always a good thing in Survivor.
4)   He must defer to Vytas for strategy if he wants to win this game.
5)   He needs a new alliance or a couple meltdowns from the other tribe members or he's done.

       

 

Redemption Island:

b)    Laura M

She’s the best suited to win a challenge that rewards small feet and light weight.
 

a)     John

I don't care how heavy this guy is, I can't see him falling off before Rasputin's wife.  plus, he's a big crybaby so he probably has small feet anyway.

 

c)    Rasputin’s Wife

I can confidently say there is no danger of this woman winning "favorite survivor" at the end of the season.  I hope her and Rupert don't need the coin.

Week 2: #10 of 17 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 3: #16 out of 16 quit game

Week 3: #10 of 15 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Week 4: #12 of 14 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 5: #10 of 13 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 6: #2 of 12 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Week 7: #10 of 11 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island