Sunday, December 15, 2013

Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Final Episode Edition


I don’t quite know how to express my feelings in regards to this season of Survivor.

I mean, I liked the extra strategic element of the whole “loved one” thing.

It was nice to see some reasonably normal people compete for the coin.

Colton got wiped out early and, mercifully, we did not need to have our TV screens polluted with this arsehole for more than a couple weeks.

Every season I lament the fact that the producers of Survivor seem more interested in selecting people who will drum up some drama than finding compelling or intelligent individuals with normal jobs or spouses who are not famous.

This most recent band of castaways seemed to be a bit less contrived but it just didn’t seem to work out the way I had hoped.

In the mid-late game, nobody really seized the stage and became someone to either root for or despise.

Tyson is clever.  Hayden is, well, clever.  Monica and Laura M, while decidedly un-clever, are great in challenges.  Ciera is kind of sneaky I guess.  Gervase rotates between quiet wisdom and foolish yammering.  Tina, while pretty spry for a woman of 60, reeks of mediocrity in every aspect of the game.

There’s no Yul (social genius) or Ozzy (challenge God) or Russell (sneaky bastard) or Cochran (level-headed master of timing) to either admire or hold in contempt.  The remaining players have some qualities in various quantities but nobody who really jumps out as dominant or deserving.

This season was more like a middleweight fight between unranked and unknown opponents than an epic battle of giants.

Someone is going to win this season, but I doubt their game will ever be considered the stuff of legends.

Because someone has to win, I am duty bound to predict who it will be and why.

 

Group #1:  The People with no Chance


Tina—

With her unconscionably boring daughter out of the game, someone has to assume the mantle of “non-entity”.  Tina made no moves of any import and did very little to influence the game. 

Since Katie was the only person left on the island aside from Ciera who she could beat in a challenge, her odds of getting back to the game are almost nil.  Even if she does, nobody is going to give her another million bucks.


Monica—

Like most sinewy 90-pound women, Monica did a pretty good job at challenges geared toward sinewy 90-pound women. 

While she can claim to have acquitted herself valiantly in challenges, the truth of the matter is that Monica will have had to violate way too many people in order to make it to the end. 

Plus, there are few people on the journey who will feel compelled to give the millionaire wife of a loudmouth ex-football player another million bucks

If she goes to the final 3 with anyone named Tyson, Hayden, or Gervase, she can’t hope to beat them.  If she somehow manages to get Ciera and Laura/Tina with her to the end, she will have been responsible for at least 6 people’s ousters.

Betraying your friends to save your own hide is not the ticket to victory.

 

Group #2:  These guys can win if everything goes perfectly


Ciera—

Ciera’s game is one of half-measures and lost opportunities.  She made a couple big moves (voting off her mom and drawing rocks) but did so only after being badgered by smarter players (Hayden/Tyson).

People don’t hate her, and might (on some levels) respect the fact that she was smart enough to follow simple instructions but she can’t really own any of the major plays.

If she can get to the end with Monica, Tina, or Laura M she might be able to pull off a split decision but any other combination and she’s toast


Laura M.—

In the NFL Hall of Fame, there are a number of players enshrined due almost entirely to their longevity.

Emmit Smith, for example, played forever and holds the rushing record due almost solely due to his ability to be competent for a very large stretch of time.

However, I don’t think anyone is going to say that Emmitt Smith is better than Barry Sanders or Erik Dickerson.  He just lasted forever.

And that, my friends, is Laura M.  She is a very competent challenge performer who has been able to survive week after week.

She’s worthy of consideration, but nobody really thinks she’s the best player.


Group #3:  The Contenders:


Gervase--
 
Stronger than anyone sneakier and sneakier than anyone stronger.  Gervase has played a very balanced game.  He has a better chance of making it to the end than Tyson because people are less frightened of his end game and a better chance than Hayden due to the fact that he’s not already on Redemption Island.

He’ll beat anyone not named Tsyon or Hayden and has a better chance of getting t the finals than either of those guys.  As always, he’s in a pretty good place if he can keep his yap shut.


Tyson—
 
If being in constant control is worthy of victory, Tyson pulls home the million if he makes it to the end.

For nearly the entire game, he was calling the shots for the dominant alliance and also showed his tenacity by tracking down the immunity idol twice.

He lacked Cochran’s timing brilliance and Boston Rob’s political ability to stay under the radar but he played the most consistent game.

 
Hayden—

This guy was the MacGyver  of the island.  He took an impossible position and, with no tools, almost singlehandedly turned the game around for 3 people.

Hayden took the biggest risks and then talked other people into taking huge risks on his behalf. 

He’s likable, funny, doesn’t Russel feathers.  If he can get out of Redemption Island and in front of a jury, he’ll be a force.

 
The Winner:

 
Tyson—

Many things can happen but it is always a good idea to pick the winner based upon their prospects of victory at the final tribal council.

Nobody can beat him in the end and he doesn’t need to defeat the invincible Laura M. at Redemption to get back in the game.

He’s not the best of the Survivor champs, but he’s superior to the rest of the Shmendricks from this season.


I’ll have my end of the season conclusions next week.  Be well my friends!

Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Week 12 Special Edition


Let me launch this week’s power rankings preview by sending out a hearty “#@%& you!” to the people from CBS who create, edit, and run the weekly previews.

Suffice it to say that an astute viewer knows who wins at Redemption Island as well as how the vote goes at tribal council based solely on a 15 second local TV spot purchased by the network for affiliates across the US.

Out of respect for my readers who don’t sit around all day watching TV or are, perhaps, big dumb candy-asses who don’t watch football on weekends, I am going to eschew the rankings this week and instead talk about the remaining players and their prospects for winning the million.

On a less important note, I really crappethed  the bed by putting Caleb #1 last week.  Let us speak no more of this…..

Let us now talk some Survivor:


Tyson:

Reasons he can win:

1)      He has been the driving force behind every relevant move this season

2)      For people who can’t see the immense amount of $hit he talks about them behind the scenes, he seems pretty cool.

3)      His belly full of ill-gotten coconuts allows him to compete in challenges even with a jacked up shoulder.

4)      He doesn’t root for the Philadelphia Eagles which makes him smarter than a at least 1 other player.

Reasons he’ll lose:

1)      If Gervase is the silent “grand vizier” who operates behind the scenes, Tyson makes his moves with the flamboyance of a younger, gayer, Elton John.  This makes him a hell of a target for savvy players who know that aggressive players who are not overt bastards usually win (refer to all seasons after 5).
 
Look at me!  I'm the one making everyone vote you off the island!
 

2)      He still has a bum shoulder and does not appear to be able to eat Manatee poop with the same vigor as Katie, Monica, or Gervase.  Any hopes of sweeping immunity look slim.

3)      I don’t feel like he has an innate sense of timing like Boston Rob or Cochran displayed in their drive to the coin.  His immunity idol play was pretty irrelevant when compared to previous seasons.

4)      The fact that he didn’t tell ANYONE in his alliance that he had the idol must plant seeds of doubt as to the sincerity of his loyalty.  People may feel slighted come voting time.

Monica:

Reasons she can win:

1)      In any challenge that requires endurance or grip strength in proportion to body weight,  this woman is unstoppable.  I bet she is great at choking the %$#& out of her kids when they act up….
 
 

2)      If she can keep her yap shut and let the power players snipe at each other, there is a good chance she ends up in a final 3 with a couple of schlemiels  with little to support their case for the million.

Reasons she’ll lose:

1)      Unless Probst has the legal and spiritual authority to perform a quickfire divorce in front of the jury during the final tribal council, she’s still married to that Delta Bravo Brad Culpepper.

2)      Flip-floppy people seldom fare well when campaigning for votes.  She has been little more than a disloyal opportunist for the last 3 weeks and everyone who is sitting on the loser’s bench will remember this.


Katie:

Reasons she can win:

1)      Katie is starting to have the feeling of a “Natalie” from that season that Russel Hantz lost.  She’s pretty (She is one of the few people in this shows illustrious history that looks noticeably better after eating rice and grubs) , she’s likable, and isn’t a total dunder-pate like Amanda Kimmel who will ramble like a homeless man in front of the jury id she makes it far enough.  If people are pissed enough at the remaining players, she might just get the “F.U’” vote to win the day.

2)      Has there been a bigger non-player this season?  Other competitors will naturally want to drag this non-entity to the end thinking that she has no threatening resume to steal the cabbage.

3)      At the very least, there will be 2 Mom’s on the jury who will probably cast their vote for the last surviving “Little Girl”.

Reasons she’ll lose:

1)      Katie’s greatest strength is her greatest weakness as well.  If she does make it to the final 3, how is she going to field the inevitable “Why do you deserve the million dollars” questions?  Telling people that you can finally fit into some pants you bought in 2007 won’t do the trick.  Although she’d probably get my vote for such candor….

2)      They had their eating challenge already.  Katie cannot hope to take herself to the finals, she must rely on the largesse of others.  Having no control of one’s own destiny is never a good thing.

3)      She needs to make sure Ciera does not make it to the end or she risks splitting the “Mommy Vote”.


Gervase:

Reasons he can win:

1)      Power without responsibility.  He knows everything that is going on around camp and has strategic input on top of it.  Yet, somehow, everyone is pissed off at or scared of Tyson.  This a great place to be.
 
Unlike Disney's reality, the Sultan will be to blame for any decisions
 

2)      People either seem to trust this guy or have confidence that his self interest will add some malleability to his play.  He’s kind of like a swing vote even when in the dominant alliance.

 Reasons he’ll lose:

1)      Gervase must be very careful who he takes to the end should he make it that far.  If he sits next to Tyson he’s screwed given the game he has played thus far. 

2)      He roots for the Philadelphia Eagles.  As we all know, God hates Cleveland and Philly.  Unless he has some help from “down under”, overcoming the displeasure of the almighty is at tall task indeed.


Hayden:

Reasons he can win:

1)      You don’t win Big Brother without having some serious social acumen.  He’s likable enough to outperform Katie in front of the final jury particularly if he engineers some fireworks in the last few weeks.

2)      They can’t possibly continue to gear every immunity challenge to sinewy people who are small of stature.  I have a feeling that eventually challenges requiring some beef will end up in play here.

3)      He’s dating Kat.  He has used up a solid portion of his bad luck already.

Reasons he’ll lose:

1)      Winning Big Brother gives you a million bucks.  I’m no Socialist, but giving a million dollars to a millionaire just seems like a butthole move.

2)      He’s one of the guys who betrayed the alliance before it was time.  This will plague him on the jury as well as with his remaining tribe mates if luck doesn’t go his way.

3)      He’s dating Kat.  If that isn’t a damning condemnation of someone’s judgment I don’t know what is (aside, perhaps, from betting on the Buffalo Bills).  he may do something stupid pretty soon that shoots him in the arse.

Ciera:

Reason’s she’ll win:

1)      She may be sneaky but she’s not quite considered a power player.  It is entirely possible that the strong forces will eliminate themselves through a war of attrition allowing her to proceed to the final 3 with an entourage of nincompoops.

2)      Even if she didn’t conceive of the move and tried to fight it in the end, voting off one’s own mother can be viewed by people on the jury as a substantial self-sacrifice.  This separates her from any non-entities that might join her in the end.

3)      Like Katie, she is as likely to get the Mommy vote as the Democratic Mayoral Candidate in San Francisco.

Reasons she’ll lose:

1)      When it comes down to it, she did nothing other than do what Tyson told her the entire game (thus far).  Why would I give a million dollars to Robin when Batman is vying for the same prize?

2)      Ciera is like a weaker, sneakier Katie.  No threat to win challenges and a possible traitor come vote time.  Enemies make dangerous friends.

3)      If Katie makes it to the end, she loses the other vote she’d get.
 
No Redemption predictions this week. 
 
Week 2: #10 of 17 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 3: #16 out of 16 quit game
Week 3: #10 of 15 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island
Week 4: #12 of 14 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 5: #10 of 13 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 6: #2 of 12 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 7: #10 of 11 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island
Week 8: #10 of 10 voted off at tribal council:  Picked winner at Redemption Island
Week 9: #9 of 9 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge
Week 9: #8 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge
Week 10: #7 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 10: #` of 7 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Week 11 Power Rankings

There are few things in this life more tragic than a sacrifice made in vain.
It was both painful and frustrating to watch Ciera attempt to simultaneously talk herself both into and out of voting out her own mom and then, ultimately, allowing someone else to make the decision for her.
The decision was the ticket to victory, not the act itself.
Any monkey can vote with the majority but if Ciera truly had designs upon the million bucks, it should have occurred to her that she would need to tell the final jury something other than she sucks in challenges and lounges around camp like she has dysentery.
As it stands, she must conceive of and successfully implement a move to oust at least 2 power players if she is to have any hope of bringing home the prize.
In addition to having squandered her best hope for jury votes, she still reaps all the downside of the decision:
1)     She no longer has the emotional bulwark that her mother provided
2)     She becomes threatening to the other players because she agreed to vote out her own mother.  I mean, how the hell can you trust someone who would stab their own mom in the back? 
Ciera is our big drop of the week.  She’s too sneaky to hitch your wagon to.  She’s too likeable with too great a need for the coin to take to the final 3.  She is starting to sound like someone who wants to make some moves but may lack the delicacy required to do so gracefully.
Let’s get ranking!

#1) Caleb
I do not believe that he’s the best candidate to go home with the million, but his incredibly deft answer at tribal regarding Monica shows that he can wield a gilded tongue when necessary.
I suspect that having to placate that bitch Colton all the time has made him a skillful dissembler.
Anyway, for a savvy player like Caleb to be this far off the radar this far into the game is quite an accomplishment.  I have him getting 2nd in the end but for now he’s the safest on the island.

#2) Gervase
Gervase is still my bet to win it all but his close association with Tyson and the growing feeling among others that he is a pretty dangerous cat puts him in more immediate danger than Caleb.
He needs to turn on Tyson but cannot do it too early or he’ll be without allies.
Tyson has to be offed not this week but next and, unlike Ciera’s situation, Gervase needs to make it look like he had nothing to do with it to ensure a friendly jury.

Keep your distance....but don't look like you're trying to keep your distance....I don't know, fly casual!
 

#3) Hayden
Aras’ ignominious departure from Redemption Island has given Big Brother new life.
He’s not making any moves so nobody fears him strategically and his underwhelming challenge performances are actually working in his favor right now.
Hayden just needs to sit back, smile, nod, play dumb, and not get involved in any strategery right now and he’ll be safe.
Next week though, he needs to make a big move or he’ll be watching people fall over themselves to take Katie and Monica to the finals with them.

#4) Katie
Is there anyone in their right mind who doesn’t want Katie next to them in front of the final jury?
I’ve heard the argument that nobody has any cause to dislike her and this makes her a dangerous foe.
The fact is, unless you are a monumental bastard (Russel Hantz) or a clumsy backstabbing traitor (Dawn Meehan/Steph Whatshername/Coach) you have nothing to fear from the Katies of the world.
Survivor contestants generally shy away from giving a million bucks to non-entities unless under extreme duress.

#5)   Monica

"Nothing is more dangerous than a friend without discretion; even a prudent enemy is preferable."
--Jean de La Fontaine
She is a woman without any allies and, as a result, she wields no power.  No power+ No friends =No threat.
On the other hand, she is unpredictable and untrustworthy.
If you are someone who values your game, taking Monica along for a ride to the final 3 is an incredibly dangerous proposition.
Like Katie, Monica has no chance at winning a million bucks.  Therefore, they are each other’s greatest enemies as the power players will need to decide who is to be their cannon fodder.
In the spirit of Gervase’s observations from a couple weeks ago, the best weapon is the one that doesn’t blow up in your face when you have to finally use it.
Katie is the safer play for 3rd but Monica is actually capable of winning challenges that don’t involve eating Panda butts and Giraffe intestines.
 
#6)  Tyson
I believe (as of today) that Tyson wins if he gets to the final 3 but he has the toughest road to get there.
Everyone knows he’s calling the shots and it is human nature to start feeling resentful.  He’s got a huge target on his back just begging for a few poison darts to be cast his way. 
To further compound his already tenuous situation, Tyson appears to be developing the opinion that everyone else on the island is an impotent baboon who lacks the balls or the brains to knock him off his throne.
He’d better smarten up fast or he’ll be joining the last Yezhinkosopolis brother on the island of fewer coconuts.
Moreover, if Vytas wins and gives another clue out to Katie, she’s gonna realize someone else has the idol and that may cause some unwanted fallout.
Still, he has 3 things working in his favor:
1)     He has the idol and even though Laura M(outh) is off the island, he still might catch wind of a plot and play it.
2)     Even with a torn rotator cuff, he’s still better in most challenges than half the remaining people.
3)     People fear power either real or perceived.  If a safe vote (Monica, Katie, Ciera) presents itself, there is a good chance they will seize upon the opportunity to protect their own hides.  This only needs to happen for 2 more weeks and he’s guaranteed final 5.

#7) Ciera
Nearly 30 years ago, an extremely wise man once spoke of walking down a road:
“If you walk right side?  Safe.”
“If you walk left side?  Safe”
“If you walk middle <squish> just like grape.”
Ciera’s half-assed manner of voting off mommy violated this most sacred observation.
When playing for a million dollars, either you Survivor do: Yes; or you Survivor do: No; But you Survivor do, “guess so”, sooner or later <squish> just like grape.
Mr. Miyagi thinks you blew it and so do I.

 








       

Redemption Island:

a)    Vytas
The grumpiest yoga guy in the world wins again here. If he gives the clue to Katie again it could make for interesting times back at camp once she figures out that someone else has it.
b)    Laura M
It would be funny just to see you come back in a screw over your daughter again!

c)     Tina
As shocked as I was that she won last week, I will be equally as surprised if she can do it twice in a row.



Week 2: #10 of 17 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 3: #16 out of 16 quit game
Week 3: #10 of 15 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island
Week 4: #12 of 14 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 5: #10 of 13 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 6: #2 of 12 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 7: #10 of 11 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island
Week 8: #10 of 10 voted off at tribal council:  Picked winner at Redemption Island
Week 9: #9 of 9 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge
Week 9: #8 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge
Week 10: #7 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Survivor 27: Blood vs. Water: Week 10 Power Rankings

If I could predict the outcome of sporting events or stock purchases with a fraction of the skill that I have shown this season I would be writing this from my lanai on the North Shore of some tropical island paradise.
Now that I have transitioned seamlessly to the topic of islands, I should like to point out that Vytas’ Sam Kinison act at tribal council following Aras’ ouster you'll see what I mean by clicking here, coupled with his sulking and snippy comments, has changed my opinion of the guy.
He has the look now of a pouty and unstable malcontent.  Vytas obviously feels himself to be the emotional, spiritual, and intellectual superior of everyone else on the island and it galls him to be sitting next to his little brother (whom he blames for his situation) when unstable and unfocused baboons like Monica or complete non-entities like Katie advance for yet another week.
If Vytas does manage, somehow, to get back in the game, his little outbursts and smug self-superiority are not going to buy him many jury votes.
Tina is in even worse shape as she now finds herself competing against the Glorflakentsipikis brothers for a ticket back into camp.
Much like Vytas, she played a near perfect game and then proceeded to get pompous, allow desire and emotion instead of reality to guide her decisions, and then yelled at everyone when events transpired differently than she had hoped.
Tina, at least, appears to be smart enough to smile and thank everyone before she sauntered off to meet the Brothers Garfunklopolis for her inevitable defeat.
This week is the week for the big move.  Everybody with even a rudimentary understanding of this game knows that Ciera MUST instigate, nurture, and execute the blindsiding of her own mom.  It is the difference between obscurity and immortality.  There is no middle ground.  It must be done. 
As I mentioned last week, it is not enough for her to agree to or simply go along with a plan to wipe her mom, she has to conceive the notion and remain the driving force behind it.  If she can do this, she can win the million bucks.
However, since the editing crew is leaking snippets of Ciera bitching about her mother I smell a red herring…
**Author’s Note:  I saw a preview and it looks like they are doing that “hang on to the rope while sting on the edge of the pier” challenge.  The laws of physics suggest that the lighter players with the shorter arms are going to win, eliminating Hayden, Gervase, and Caleb.  Tyson has a separated shoulder so he’ll crack pretty quick I think.  Katie and Ciera are just big sissies so they’ll probably drop. 
I think either Monica or Laura wins this challenge. 
Let’s Rank!

#1) Gervase
I hate the Philadelphia Eagles.
Now that I’ve got that out of the way, I can happily keep Gervase at the top this week.
Watching him eat those grubs was funny as hell also.

#2) Caleb
He’s even starting to look like “Silent Bob” from Clerks.

Caleb’s gonna have to talk eventually but he may be in front of the final jury before he has to.
The thought of a million bucks in the hands of the blackhearted Colton is chilling to me so I just can’t root for this guy.

#3) Ciera
Vote out your mom!  VOTE HER OUT AND WIN SURVIVOR!

#4)  Tyson
He’s still got enough power and there are still enough targets to keep him here awhile longer yet.
Despite his disdain for just about everyone else on the island, he has not yet made it clear that he hates his tribe mates so he may have learned something from his last 2 sojourns to the tropics.
He needs to wipe out Laura M, followed by Katie or Monica to ensure that a “girls plus Silent Bob” alliance doesn’t pop up before turning on his alliance.  He better knock out one of his allies in the next 2 weeks or they’re gonna hit him.
Get the idol ready Tyson.  You’ll need it soon.

#5)   Monica
Dealing with Monica is like dealing with a violently crazy person.  If you can take away anything that she can use to hurt you or anyone else (Katie/Laura/Caleb) and isolate her in a padded room, she is no longer a threat,
She’s unpredictable.  She’s emotional.  She’s annoying.
She’s a great 3rd person to take to the end.

#6) Hayden
Hayden finds himself in an unenviable position here.
He’s in shape, funny, and hasn’t pissed anyone off.
Moreover, the remaining tribe members may start to panic if the Routisikisoplis brothers go on a Redemption run and decide that sending the Big Brother over is the best way to end the Greek Empire.
He’s got a week or two but I think that’s about it unless he can engineer the removal of Tyson first.

#7)  Laura M
She’s just as loud and annoying as Monica but even her daughter thinks that she’s dangerous.
I put her ahead of Katie because I think she might win the immunity challenge this week.

#8) Katie
Katie’s biggest problem isn’t that people know who she is and want her gone.
Katie’s biggest problem is that nobody knows where her loyalties lay now that her Mom is out.
She needs to convince people that they are more likely to make it to the finals by hitching their wagon to a reliable non-entity (Katie) than to a mercurial loudmouth (Monica).
She’s desperately playing for 3rd.  Nothing more.  To get to the end, she needs to orchestrate not the removal of threats, but the removal of idiots or candy-asses who might battle her for the 3rd spot.

Redemption Island:

a)    Aras
The greater of the Herculeocropolis brothers will zen his way through the next challenge

b)    Vytas
Captain grumpypants, even if he bitches incessantly about his brother, women, and aardvarks throughout the challenge, should still be able to outperform Tina.

c)     Tina
How much do you wanna bet that she already burned through all her Survivor money from Season 2? 

Isn’t it like 10K to be the first member of the jury?


Week 2: #10 of 17 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 3: #16 out of 16 quit game
Week 3: #10 of 15 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island
Week 4: #12 of 14 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 5: #10 of 13 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 6: #2 of 12 voted off at tribal council:  Picked 1 of 2 winners at Redemption Island
Week 7: #10 of 11 voted off at tribal council:  Picked both winners at Redemption Island
Week 8: #10 of 10 voted off at tribal council:  Picked winner at Redemption Island
Week 9: #9 of 9 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge
Week 9: #8 of 8 voted off at tribal council:  No Redemption challenge