Frey's NFL Picks of the Week: Week 10

Allow me a moment to thank the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for reminding me that a gut feeling is markedly inferior to impartial analytic thinking.

I knew that was a stupid pick the second I published the post.  Screw you Tampa and that seafood stealing turnover machine that you drafted #1.

I can't believe I let my instincts talk me into betting on this guy.....

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (-10)

Losing 2 straight road games has got to be rankling the men from Cheesytown. 

A nice, mellow home game against a division rival (a rival who, incidentally, happens to be almost criminally incompetent) is just what the doctor ordered.

Even the wee children know why Detroit sucks.

I never like laying that many points on the table but I cannot imagine this one being closer than 2 TD’s.

Chicago Bears (+9) @ St. Louis Rams

Do I think the Bears have a chance of winning this game? No I do not.

However, these teams’ respective play styles and Chicago’s recent foray into mediocrity give me pause when looking at the line.

Moreover, the Rams have a tendency to follow up a week where they look great with a “time to fire Jeff Fisher” game the very next time the hit the field.

I better hurry and post before I talk myself out of this pick.

Too many points here.  Take the Bears.

Houston Texans (+13) @ Cincinnati Bengals

With Andrew Luck sidelined for the next month or possibly more, the Houston Texans undoubtedly smell blood in the water.

Sadly, their quarterback is still Brian Hoyer so they’ll probably get their asses kicked.

They just won’t get them kicked by 13.

This about sums up the Texans.

This game has 24-13 written all over it.  Go with Houston.

Carolina Panthers (-4) @ Tennessee Titans

Let’s see if I understand this correctly.

An unbeaten team goes on the road to play a 2-6 outfit with a rookie QB that just fired their coach and the unbeaten guys are favored by barely more than a field goal?

I think we all know what type of game this is:

Week 8 Record:  2-2

Season Record: 23-12-1

Trap Game Record: 4-5