Saturday, December 27, 2014

Frey's NFL Week 17 Locks of the Week

Hosed by the ½-point.  

Stupid Lions.  I’m glad they have to wake up  every day in Detroit.  Buttholes…..

Looks like the gods have deemed it important that I continue to heap love and praise upon the Washington Capitals.

You know one thing I like about the Caps?  They never abuse the emotions of their fans by deluding them with the illusion of greatness.

Caps fans are mercifully spared the terrible pains and thousand natural shocks endured by those who lend their emotional energy to successful franchises such as the Yankees, Broncos, Blackhawks, or Lakers.

No expectations.  No Hope.  No Stress!


To the last Picks of the regular season then!


Cleveland @ Baltimore (-8 ½)

Whenever your collective fan base can be heard uttering, “Thank God Brian Hoyer is back behind center”, you know your #@$&ed.

The Ravens desperate need this game to have any hope of seeing the post-season.  Cleveland needs more and better draft picks to squander again next year.

God hates Cleveland.




New Orleans (-3 ½) @ Tampa Bay

This is the no-brainer of all no-brainers.

This is like Mike Tyson vs. Michael Spinks.

Like Rick Berry from the foul line.

Viper over Maverick.
We all knew what was going to happen when these 2 duked it out in the skies.



Tampa just needs to do what it does best (crap the bed) and they win the 2014 Marcus Mariota sweepstakes.

If Lovey Smith even trots out his starters for this game he should waterboarded.


Carolina @ Atlanta (-3)

Any time a 6-9 team is playing for a guaranteed playoff spot in front of a rocking home stadium it is time to revisit the whole playoff structure.

The only thing more ridiculous than the concept of a7-9 team hosting a playoff game is betting that Cam Newton is going to win a do-or-die road game with a broken back.

It's not as bad as Butt Fumble, but it's close...



Philadelphia @ New York Giants (-2.5)

It would be completely and utterly irresponsible for me to not go to the bank by betting against “Butt Fumble” one more time before the season ends.

The stats don't lie


To all the Philly fans who spoke about redemption and the fact that Chip Kelly’s is an offense that would finally allow Butt Fumble to fulfill his destiny as a stud QB I say this:

You are all morons.

Happy New Year my Brethren!


Last Week: 2-2


Season Record against the spread: 34-30

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Frey's NFL Week 16 Locks of the Week

Well I finally went 2-2.  To honor my bet, I will grudgingly admit that Alexander Ovechkin may not be the ugliest man on the planet.
A close call I know, but subjectively, at least, I must give the Cap his due.

Now that I've kissed the Capitals' butt this week here's the picks.


Philadelphia @ Washington (+9)

Butt-Fumble takes his act on the road and I get 9 points to bet against him?  Sign me up!

Chip Kelly is a good coach but...well....you know.....


Detroit (-6.5) @ Chicago

I don’t care what kind of cesspool Detroit might be.  Chicago has an Offensive Coordinator who trashes his team to the media and a QB that is only slightly less popular in the locker room than Jar-Jar Binks.
7 more years of this guy!  Well done Bears front office!  You wanna come here and run the Rockies?

If the Lions don’t cover I’ll be shocked.


Kansas City @ Pittsburgh (-3)

Leveon Bell is doing now what Demarco Murray was doing earlier.  Couple this with the fact that the Chefs can’t stop the run (effectively keeping the explosive Alex Smith off the field) and we have the makings of a 20-10 game.

The explosivity of Alex Smith has finally been accurately captured in this amazing shot



New York Giants @ St. Louis (-5)

They let me down last week, but I am a firm believer that Jeff Fisher coached teams are genetically predisposed to finishing 8-8.  That means the Rams need to win out.


Don’t #$%& with Darwin.  Natural selection has spoken and that means a Ram administered ass-kicking!

Darwin likes the Rams so as a secular agnostic I guess I'll follow the science

Last Week: 2-2

Season Record against the spread: 32-28

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Survivor 29: San Juan Del Sur: Blood vs. Water Season Finale

Studying tax law.  Going clothes shopping with your spouse.  Watching the Tennessee Titans play the Jacksonville Jaguars.  These are all things that, until last week, were more entertaining than this incarnation of Survivor.

This season has largely been a perfect storm of bad casting, bad decisions, and bad luck.

Nearly all of the player qualities that make for compelling TV were MIA.

·         Player (e.g. Yul) who overcame great odds to make it to the final 5?  Nope.
·         Compelling villain (e.g. Russell Hantz) with strategic and psychological prowess?  No sir.
·         Aging contestant (e.g. Tom) who bulls their way to the end by sheer force of will?  Nyet.
·         Masterful strategic and social performance for the ages (e.g. Boston Rob)?  Nuh-uh.
·         Quirky loose cannon with displaying equal parts of luck and skill (e.g. Tony)?  Not this season.
·         Humorous wise-ass to keep us entertained (e.g. Tyson)?  Not even close.


Never in almost 30 seasons have I seen so many contestants with so little understanding of how this game works.

A baboon playing checkers gives more strategic thought to their moves than most of the players from this cast.

Strategy Del Sur Style


A cold-water enema displays more subtlety.  Jimmy Carter would find this crop of contestants hopelessly naïve from a political/diplomatic perspective.

About the only thing that they could all agree upon is that anyone with an IQ greater than that of a CD case needed to be sent home.

Thus did we see the pre-mature and tragic departure of Josh, Jeremy, and Reed.

I am beginning to believe that Natalie claiming that she simply forgot how to vote at tribal council might be the move of the game as the dumber the person, the farther they seem to get this season.

These guys would have been royalty this season


If the finale holds true to form, then Keith is certain to be our new champion…..

I could re-hash all of the nincompoopery of this season but I’d certainly have carpal tunnel by the time I finished typing. 

Where it not for the fact that Natalie came out of nowhere and started doing crap that can be considered competent if not brilliant, I would have, for the first time, been forced to watch a 2 hour finale without anyone to root for or against.

Thank the gods for small miracles.

Let’s talk turkey.


Missy

Interesting fact: 

When the medical team cut open Missy’s ankle to help relieve some of the swelling, 40 pounds of rice fell out of it.

Why she will win:

1)      Missy is one of only 2 players in the game with an ally that cannot possibly be coerced into voting them out or allowing them to be blindsided. 
2)      Already a big candy-arse when it comes to challenges, Missy has been rendered completely harmless in anything that does not involve gorging on rice to ensure future starvation.  Nobody fears a physical run form this lady.
Just like Missy but with a better ankle

3)      Everybody left in the game wants to sit next to Missy and Baylor at tribal.  Not only have they played pretty weak games, but by keeping them together, you eliminate at least 1 guaranteed vote for the other.
4)      Jury members may find her willingness to gut out a severely injured ankle to be worthy of some coin

Why she will lose:

1)      Jury members will rightly assume that she’ll just marry another jackwagon and end up having to give him half of her money anyway.
Missy's next husband <shown here> would love for her to win the million
2)      She nearly caused an entire tribe to starve to death with her rice fetish.
3)      What has she done in this game aside from flipping when other players directed her to do so?  No resume?  No million.


Keith

Interesting fact:

Hydraulic Engineers at MIT have determined that the amount of spittle expelled by Keith this season would fill a 12-person hot tub.
Keith  partaking in his favorite past-time.  Expectorating.  


Why he will win:

1)      Honed by a lifetime of wrestling and mating with gators, Keith is a challenge beast when it comes to physical contests.  A challenge run to the final 3 is quite possible.
2)      If on the chopping block before final tribal, he will simply tell a random player to “stick to the plan” and give a huge wink.  Game.  Set. Match.
3)      Jury members understand that Keith would be unable to earn a million bucks even if given 4 lifetimes to do so.  Plus, 1 million dollars in Butthole, Louisiana is like giving someone 100 million dollars if they are from New York or California.  Giving him the money would be the Christian thing to do.
4)      If he had a hand in the ouster of anyone on the jury, it was purely accidental.

Why he will lose:

1)      See reason #4 under “why he will win.”
2)      Unless I am totally misreading this man, I have serious reason to doubt his eloquence in front of the jury.  Wes may also forget who he is supposed to vote for.
You mean I was suppost to vote fer Pa?
3)      I give even odds that he says something extremely offensive to women, gay people, and people of color before the votes are counted.


Jaclyn

Interesting fact:

Jaclyn can grow armpit hair faster than any known human being.


Why she will win:

1)      Jaclyn is a perfect goat to take to the finals.  If Missy and Baylor are smart, she’ll be in the final 3.
2)      If she makes it to the final jury with Missy and Baylor, the mother-daughter team cannot vote for each other.  Jon will be certain to cast his vote to Miss Michigan, and the remaining players will be honor-bound to commit ritual suicide before voting to give one of these losers a million dollars.
3)      Her stint as a beauty queen has prepared her for making speeches in front of audiences.
4)      She never really planned to oust anybody, she just got huffy about something they did and demanded that she and Jon flip.  Kind of like 2nd degree murder instead of 1st.
Baylor said my sweatshirt is grey.  I want her out!


Why she will lose:

1)      Jaclyn is obviously unused to being treated with anything other than deference.  If anyone from the jury takes a tone that is the least bit hostile, she will throw a huge tantrum and tell them that they can all go #@$% themselves.
2)      She is unlikely to be able to emotionally deal with Jon’s ouster.  She is almost certain to make herself so insufferable that the remaining players would gladly forgo the million bucks just get her the hell out of camp.
3)      Miss Michigan didn’t really play any game at all.  She simply took instruction from either her boyfriend or from her (far more powerful) emotion of the moment.  Not much of a resume for this lady.


Natalie

Interesting fact:

Natalie is actually Nadiya.

Why she will win:

1)      Of the remaining people on the tribe, she is the only person remaining who has the foggiest idea on how to play this game.  While this has been a curse for players such as Reed, Josh, and Jeremy, I suspect that it will count for something as the end nears.


2)      Natalie is quite possibly Keith’s equal when it comes to challenges.  If the arena sets up right, then she will simply ride immunity to the final 3.
3)      She has the best resume of anyone remaining regarding the planning of and execution of moves.  By far.
4)      I think her verbal style will sit better with this jury than with some of the others in the past.  She is blunt without being abrasive and her duplicity is very easy to defend on strategic grounds.  Natalie has a good case and is smart enough to relay it to the jury.

Why she will lose:

1)      Competent players have been getting whacked this season with greater frequency than gangsters during prohibition.  She’s a strategic threat and everyone remaining knows it.
Everyone who is NOT a dipshit please go stand over there....

2)      She’s won 2 of the last 3 immunity necklaces.  If she fails in one of the next 2 challenges, don’t think that Keith and the remaining weaklings/cripples aren’t going to want her out.
3)      While it is possible that the remaining chuckleheads don’t realize that they should do everything possible to avoid sitting next to her at the final tribal council, it is possible that they do.  Natalie is the only one left who doesn’t have a loved one to cast a vote on her behalf.


Baylor:

Interesting fact:

Nobody in Survivor history has ever made it this far after being punched in the mouth by their mother in an immunity challenge and then bursting into tears. 
Mom almost never hits me in the face on national TV.....


Why she will win:

1)      Unlike her mother, she didn’t try to kill the other contestants via starvation.
2)      If she can arrange for someone other than Natalie to be in the final 3 with her and her mother, Baylor has the next best case (weak as it is) to make to the jury for the million bucks.
3)      At the final tribal council, Missy will undoubtedly make a plea to the jury to cast all their votes for her daughter while lauding her gameplay.
4)      Only Missy seems to think that everyone likes Baylor.  Everyone else doesn’t think that everyone likes Baylor.  Who better to take to the end if Miss Michigan pouts her way home before they get to the final 3?

Why she will lose:

1)      Just about everyone on the jury dislikes Baylor.  She might get to 3, but 3 is where she will stay even after the votes are read.
2)      Baylor is young and pretty in-eloquent.  I don’t foresee any verbal wizardry coming forth from our favorite bratty cheerleader that might sway the jury.
3)      She is the spawn of Missy, the Rice Queen.  A vote for Baylor is a vote for the Rice Queen.

Just as it happened last season, I am compelled to look for excellence and trust that the Survivor gods will bestow a worthy champion upon us and salvage some of the wreckage of this season.

Natalie may not be the prettiest remaining player.  She may not be a force of physical domination or strategic mind comparable to the champions of yore.  She may not even be Natalie actually.

But she is the only person left on this show for who true fans can cast their support.


Survivor 29: San Juan Del Sur: Blood vs. Water Champion:

Add caption

Thursday, December 11, 2014

Frey's NFL Week 15 Locks of the Week

For the second week in a row (and this time in a good way), I need not soil these pages with kind words about Bieber’s favorite team, the Washington Capitals.

Yep.  The Biebster loves the Caps.  If you love the Caps, you also must love the Biebster


However, as solid a 3-1 against the spread might seem, I will eschew any additional self-promotion until after I bring it home this week.

I like the docket of games a bit more than usual and had some difficulty in pinning down the locks, but I think you will be sold on these picks via the searing logic of my fiery intellect.


Arizona @ St. Louis (-3 ½)

Never in 38 years of watching football have I ever seen a 10-3 team look as eminently beatable as the Arizona Cardinals. 

Conversely, when have you ever seen a 6-7 team play in such a way that you are certain they would trounce all but a handful of elite teams on a Neutral field?

I am clearly not alone in this observation as indicated by the fact that a team 7 games above .500 is a 3 ½ point underdog to some guys with a losing record.
The St. Louis Rams:  Trending up                                                The Arizona Cardinals: Trending Down

3 ½ is still not nearly enough.  The Rams roll here.  I’m feeling a 23-13 type of game.


Miami @ New England (-7)

The Dolphins are the prototypical average team.  The can do a number of things but nothing particularly well.  Everything about these guys is profoundly ordinary.  

Sure if you've had a few drinks and they are playing someone like Jacksonville or Tennessee you might start to get intrigued, but when the Dolphins test their mettle against some quality opposition it becomes glaringly obvious that they are just a homely neighbor girl.
What Miami actually looks like when you're sober and they're not standing next to the Raiders or Jags.  Not God-awful but, well, its better after some drinks


The Patriots cheat and they are at home.


Denver @ San Diego (+4 ½)

Let me preface this pick with the assurance that it causes me physical pain to go this way.

Here’s why I did:

1)      Denver is only 3-3 on the road.
2)      Manning looks kind of like crap when he plays from under center and can’t survey the opposition pre-snap on every play.  I am also getting the impression that if he doesn’t through 40 times a game he struggles to find his rhythm.
3)      We are pretty banged up still in the secondary and on the offensive skill positions
4)      Truth be told, Denver doesn’t really need this game.  A loss here by the Bolts and their season is over.
5)      Phillip Rivers is a wang
All REAL Americans hate this guy

This game reeks of a 27-24 affair.  I don’t know who wins the game, but either way, 4 ½ for San Diego is too much.


Jets (+1 ½) @ Tennessee

Both of these teams suck and are in desperate need of a QB.

The loser of this game is, in actuality, the big winner due to the upcoming  Marcus Mariota sweepstakes. 

However, Rex Ryan knows he’s getting canned after the season ends so he doesn't give a #@&% whether or not the Jets get Mariota.

On the other hand, Ken Whisenhunt can only get fired if he is stupid enough to win this game for the Titans.

Anybody caught actually watching this game should be ashamed of themselves.

Tennessee better hope for more of this or they're gonna get stuck with Jake Locker....


I’m taking me some Jets.


Last Week: 3-1

Season Record against the spread: 30-26

Thursday, December 4, 2014

Frey's NFL Week 14 Locks of the Week

Trap Games.

I always thought that they were entities that only preyed on the other guy. 

I was unwary.  I was pompous.  I insulted all of those kind-hearted, God-fearing people who built all of those architectural masterpieces in Las Vegas.

Last week I insulted the intelligence of the fine people of Las Vegas.  They are the salt of the earth and I feel shame.


Trap games are real. 

They are out there. 

And, Henceforth, I will avoid them with the same amount of zeal with which I avoid betting on the Bills.

Now that I have repented, let’s see if I cannot get a little redemption.


Indianapolis (-3) @ Cleveland

There are 2 inviolable rules that I referenced when making this pick:

1)      Never bet on an inferior team embroiled in a Quarterback controversy

2)      God hates Cleveland

God already hated Cleveland.  Who do you think He is pulling for this week?


Take the Colts and lay the 3.


Houston (-4) @ Jacksonville

This one is dangerously close to a trap game except for the dual facts that:

1)      Houston is a .500 team with an inconsistent QB

2)      Jacksonville already won as many games as they thought they would this year.  As a result, they’ll lack that sense of desperate urgency that we saw last week.

A visual of the excitement level in Jacksonville at this time of year


I don’t sense a blowout but a win by the Texans by a TD or so seems likely to me.


St. Louis (-1.5) @ Washington

Can anyone out there honestly tell me that Mike Shanahan hasn’t been completely exonerated given RG III’s utter disregard for anything resembling accountability or rational thought?

I am hopeful that the original “Redskin” will get his shot somewhere else and soon.

Washington has no reason to keep their offensive name now that Shanahan has been fired


With the cancer finally removed, perhaps Colt McCoy and the rest of Washington’s slightly less than average roster can recapture some of their self-esteem.  

I just don’t think that a game against a resurgent Rams team is the time or place to start the march to mediocrity.


New England (-3) @ San Diego

It causes me physical pain to pick this game. 

It’s like picking a winner between the gout and shingles; between Kidney Stones and Colitis.

I have to pick the Kidney’s Stones here because they cheat and because they are just better than Colitis.

Recycled photo of Belichick and Brady on the sidelines during a time out



The gout should win by around 10 I should think.


Last Week: I don't remember
Season Record against the spread: 27-25

Wednesday, December 3, 2014

Survivor 29: San Juan Del Sur: Finally some Life!

Finally. 

After what has seemed like an eternity, a group of people stranded in Nicaragua together for the chance to win a million dollars have started acting like they are playing for a million dollars.

Except for Keith.  That guy is a dipshit.

I have seen people do really dumb things in the game because they treated it like it was a big frat party:

Fireman Eddie



I have seen people do dumb things in this game because they are pompous douche-bag lawyers who can’t draw breath unless it be to aid them in doing something dickish to other human beings:

Kass the Butthole Attorney


We have seen players do incredibly foolish things because they are naïve:

Eric the Ice cream guy and Jim Morrison Lookalike


Because they are reprehensible human beings:

Colton the Lord Farquaad clone


Or even because they are crazy:

And by "Crazy" I mean psychologically imbalanced.


But never have I seen a player on Survivor simply be too stupid to play the game without even a hint of artifice.

It was a totally prescient moment when they showed Keith confiding to the camera that he had difficulty with things like diplomacy, planning, and arithmetic.

In fact, Keith seems to have no remarkable qualities whatsoever aside from having an endless reservoir of spittle to draw upon.  Seriously.  Why does this guy have to spit all the time?  Did he find a hidden stash of chewing tobacco somewhere?  Is he trying to spit out all of the stupid?

Apparently he didn't spit out enough dipshittery to save his alliance because yelling “stick to the plan” to someone with who you are supposed to have no affiliation is one of the dumbest things I have ever seen on this show.

Until that moment, to my shock, Reed’s “Rube Goldberg” plan was going to actually work.  If Keith had simply thrown up on his own lap and complained that all women were bitches, it would have been far better for his alliance.

A simplified Diagram of Reed's Plan.  You think Keith understood the intricacies?


Despite this, Jon, amazingly, STILL seemed reluctant to use the idol until Natalie (the only player other than Reed who seems to be able to think more than 1 move ahead) suggested that he might consider saving his own ass.

If I were Miss Michigan, I’d fire this idiot and start looking for someone who is not going to trade your family cow for magic beans.

There are only 2 people left on the island who are worthy of the million bucks and they are named Natalie and Reed.

As it stands now, I give my weekly endorsement to Natalie and here’s why:

Natalie also wants to get rid of Jon but realized that senseless dunderpates make for dangerous allies in Survivor and chose to save Jon (knowing he would still be a target) while ensuring that she would leave tribal with the only hidden immunity idol.

Reed’s plan was bold but it was too complex.  In order to succeed it required people from both his alliance and the other to be totally on board and to be cognizant enough of the situation to be able to practice at least a rudimentary display of duplicity.


A major part of winning Survivor is to develop the ability to adapt yourself to the styles, intellect, and worldview of many disparate people.   I am unsure, thus far, if Reed will be able to dumb it down enough for the remaining baboons to help carry him to the end.

Ideally, I would love to see Reed and Natalie take control of this game but I have a strong feeling that they are both too savvy to allow the other to remain unmolested for more than a couple of weeks at most.


That having been said, if these guys can keep it up another couple weeks I may start getting into this season after all.