Subsequent to last year’s fiasco regarding my
playoff predictions, nary a day passed that I would not panic at the thought of
placing a wager.
Whatever respect I might once have had for my
football acumen was lost in a noxious cloud of 2 wins, 8 losses, and 1 tie.
My deflated prognostication prowess became painfully
public and obvious following a conversation I had just prior to last year’s
Superbowl with my then 6-year old daughter while in the midst of a painful
2-7-1 stretch against the spread.
Kira: Who do
you think is going to win tonight Daddy?
Me: I like
San Francisco to win sweetie. They are
the guys in the gold helmets.
Kira: I’m not
sure why, but I think the other guys will win…..
Well I’m not one to let a 6-year old girl have the
last laugh on me so I’m gonna give it another go this year to your delight and
my chagrin.
Kansas City at Indianapolis
(-1.5)
I cannot see any compelling reason to not place my
faith in the team that travelled into Kansas City and beat the Chefs’ butts.
I might change my mind if KC opts to play all those
pesky back-ups that almost punked the Chargers out of the playoffs last week,
but I can’t shake the feeling that those 8 or 9 Chiefs selected to the Pro Bowl
would never want to risk missing out on a free trip to Hawaii just for the
chance to travel to Denver to get their ass kicked.
Indy covers this one at home and earns a rematch
with their old QB in Mile High.
New Orleans at Philadelphia
(-2.5)
There are 3 factors in play that make me favor the
Eagles:
1) Philly
is the healthiest team in the NFL right now and has won 7 of their last 8 games.
2) New
Orleans plays like a bunch of wangs when away from the Superdome
3) The
weather looks like it may be kind of crappy and I like me the team that runs
for 200 yards a game.
I think the Eagles win and cover, earning the right
to get force-fed their own butts in Seattle next week.
San Diego at Cincinnati
(-7)
I actually remember the last time these guys met in
a playoff game. The Dan Fouts-led
Chargers got whacked 27-7 in a historically cold game in Ohio. I think it was also the first season the
Bengals wore those dumbass helmets.
The helmets are the same and Phil Rivers is kind of
a really dickish version of Dan Fouts so I think the results will be about the
same.
If San Diego needed to cheat and get a few lucky calls
and bounces in their home stadium to beat a bunch of second teamers from KC
then I think a frigid road game against the Bengals’ Defense will be more than
the bolts can handle.
Cincy wins by double digits here I suspect.
San
Francisco (-2.5) at Green Bay
It may not always pan out, but I’ve always found
that taking the better team when the spread is below a field goal is good
policy.
The Niners are just 4 points away from a 13 game
winning streak while the Packers needed a Hail Mary to overcome the worst
defense in the NFL to have a winning record..
The Pack is horribly dinged up on defense and even
if the weather sucks, it’s not like the folks who play in Candlestick don’t
know anything about windy and crappy.
Sorry Pack, Baltimore already used up all the “Win a
game you shouldn’t on a bullshit Hail Mary pass and then go on to be world
champs” Karma.
Look for the Niners to cover but allow Green Bay
some garbage time points.
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