Thursday, October 18, 2018

Frey's NFL Picks Week 7: It Can't Get Any Worse ....Right?


Well last week’s 0-3-1 record was the most pitiful display of prognostication since the week prior.

That having been said, my weekly picks differ from my beloved Denver Broncos in three important ways:

1)      I still have a winning record.
2)      A return to competence is likely.
3)      It’s fun to watch me try.

Winston Churchill once said, “Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of enthusiasm.”

The Prime Minister is unhappy with my effort but lauds my persistance.


You can’t see me right now, but I am enthused.  I’m aquiver with anticipation of my next round of picks and brimming with confidence.  And I’m not talking the fake, drummed up braggadocio that we’ve been hearing from Von Miller this week, but real confidence.

I know Von Miller cares, and I bet that he will kick multitudes of butts tonight, but his is a lonely voice among a chorus of behaviors and body languages that scream “here we go again”.

My uncles may have partaken pretty heavy in the leaf back in their days in the Navy during Vietnam, but the proud nautical tradition I enjoy in my blood can tell when a ship is sinking.  

I’m not abandoning the vessel yet, but I’m stealthily edging toward the lifeboat.

I’d pick the Cards to win tonight but they are far too crappy for that type of nonsense.

So let’s pick some real games instead.


Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins (+3)

This would be my Admiral Akbar Game of the Week were it not for the fact that Brock Osweiler always poops the bed in the game immediately following an outing where he saves the day.

Moreover, the Lions are largely healthy and, despite their inauspicious 2-3 record, are playing pretty well for their new coach, Rubius Hagrid.

On the other hand, this is a road game, Miami is 4-2, and the Lions are….well…the Lions.

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I had to re-check to make sure this one wasn’t in London given the spread.  I’d be happy taking the fins straight up much less getting 3 points.


Minnesota Vikings (-3 ½) @ New York Jets

Sorry Jets.

The Vikings already had their trap game when they played Buffalo.

The Bills caught them off guard.  The Jets will not.

Vikings roll here.


Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins (-1 ½)

If there is one constant in the treacherous world of prognostication, it is that the Dallas Cowboys will always be overvalued whenever they show the slightest signs of not sucking.

Jerry Jones at his press conference proudly detailing Dallas' resurgence.


“Not Sucking” is not enough to win a road game against a division opponent and heated rival whose 2018 campaign can also be denied as “not sucking”.

It’ll be close, but the skins should win by 2 or more.


New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons (-4 ½)

And so it comes to this.

Ever since I swore off picking the Bills (win or lose, it mattered not), the New York Giants have become my new kryptonite.

This team is a dumpster fire.

They also keep covering spreads.

But, to paraphrase Dottie Hinson from A League of Their Own, I can’t pick them, and I can’t lay off them.

A more apt comparison might be Norm Peterson's inmability to stop eating at the Hungry Heffer

I know the Falcons defense couldn’t play dead in a western but they really need this game in order to stay relevant.  How this spread can be anything less than 6 ½ is dumbfounding to me.


I’m falling for the trap.



Week 6:  0-3-1

2018 Record: 13-10-1

Trap Game Record: 4-2

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