Sunday, September 28, 2014

NFL Week 4: Frey's Locks of the Week


Do you guys remember how Norm Peterson from the show Cheers used to keep eating at some restaurant called "The Hungry Heifer" over and over again despite the fact that it gave him terrible heartburn and gas?

 
I can't believe I picked the Bills....

Well the Bills are my "Hungry Heifer."  Everytime I pick them to win, I end up with terrible heartburn and gas.

 

Every year I swear I'm not going to do it and every year I do it anyway.  If I try this again I want at least one of my readers to punch me in the weiner.

 

Screw you Buffalo.

 

Week 4

 

Carolina Panthers @ Baltimore Ravens (-3)

 

There is absolutely no way in hell that Steve Smith doesn't get his team fired up for this game after getting punked by the Panthers this offseason.

 
Yeah.  I'll take the Ravens this week.

Baltimore looks to have recovered from last season's Super Bowl hangover and really likes to beat up on dumb quarterbacks with broken ribs.

 

 

Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers (-4.5)

 

If there was ever such a thing as a "must win" this early in a season this is it.  San Francisco has already dropped a home game to the 3-0 Cardinals and Seattle looks to have picked up right where they left off.

 

Philly has faced some weak secondaries thus far and may be in for a slow down.

 

If the 9er's drop this game, they may as well burn down tht shiney new stadium because they are finished.

 

I am going to forget about what a jackass Jim Harbaugh is and pick the team that needs it more.

If ever you find yourself pulling for San Francisco, Remember that they are led by this guy.


Miami Dolphins (+3.5) @ Oakland Raiders

Sending these two teams to London to play a football game is our why of saying, "%$#@ you England!"

That's right bitches.  We remember.  Comeuppance time is at hand.



Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans (-2.5)



E.J Manuel vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick!  Finally it has happened!  Remember this day my friends.  Some day, when your grandchildren are sitting on you knee, they are going to ask where you were when this battle of titans occurred.

Photo from the last time QBs of this caliber met on the gridiron.


I am almost too excited to pick here, but when 2 mediocre teams with dipshit QB's face each other, it is always wise to take the guys playing at home.

Steve Smith has his revenge game this week and so do I.

I hate you Buffalo.


Season Record: 6-6
 

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Survivor 29: San Juan Del Sur: Blood Versus Water. Season Premier



And just like that, we are on again my friends!

I am unsure how they can possibly top the mayhem of last season, but the fact that the new cast consists solely of new players assures us of a reasonable level of unpredictability.

As with every new season, I begin by digging out every conceivable stereotype in my arsenal since I haven't the foggiest idea what these people are about or how they will play the game.

Let’s go through the poor dumb bastards who will soon be choking down baboon toenails or rat butts for our amusement shall we?


Dale Wentworth (55) – Farmer from some Podunk town in Washington State (Kelley’s Dad)




What he has going for him:

Hard Working and Handy.  Other players may assume he is some sort of provincial bumpkin, but the fact that he is from a lefty state like Washington may mitigate this.  I suspect he might be pretty good at building and fixing crap.

What he has going against him:

Dale would be considered a cherished elder in many cultures and unless he is a farmer for the US Navy, I doubt he’s going to go all Michael Phelps on us in water challenges.  He also spelled his own daughter’s name wrong so he might be a little slow of wit.


Kelley Wentworth (28) – Marketing Manager from Seattle (Dale’s Daughter)




What she has going for her:

As a marketing professional, she is probably pretty skilled in wordsmithery.  Coming from a major metropolitan area adds a cosmopolitan aspect to her game that should enable her to relate to, or at least bend in with, people of various backgrounds.

What she has going against her:

Kelley spells her name foolishly and is 28 and unmarried.  Like many in her field, she likely speaks in a variety of business euphemisms and buzz words, which immediately makes her untrustworthy and unlikable.  Indications are that she’s a shrew who is going to nag people until they toss her out.


Drew Christy (25) Travelling sales guy with a job in the family business (Alec’s Brother)




What he has going for him:

Drew is obviously athletic and a career in sales means he is likely comfortable schmoozing and bullshitting people.

What he has going against him:

Most salespeople are shifty.  He thinks that “Fabio” from a couple seasons back was a smart guy and this bodes ill for both his alliance selection skills and his ability to think critically. 

Drew also purports to like partying and “booze cruising”.  Remember that fireman named Eddie with the IQ of a golf bag who spent the entire time on the island pitching woo and talking about how the world is and should be divided between pretty people and those who are less fortunate looking?  Methinks we may have Eddie 2.0 on our hands here….


Alec Christy (22) Student at FGC University (Drew’s Brother)




What he has going for him:

Alec is a surfer so will almost certainly excel at water challenges.  College student/surf bums are usually pretty mellow and he doesn't  look like a big “Zoolander” like his brother so he'll probably give off a better impression.

What he has going against him:

While I hear that they give out a free steak if you enroll in classes, FGCU is not widely known a hotbed of intellectualism.  People who are named “Alec” instead of “Alex” are usually buttholes.


Jeremy Collins (36) Firefighter from Foxboro, Massachusetts (Val’s Husband)




What he has going for him:

Initially, at least, everyone likes firemen.  Jeremy seems likable, mellow, and humble and is clearly on the athletic side.  Being from Foxboro, he is possibly a Patriots fan so knows all about being a cheater.

What he has going against him:

Jeremy doesn't have an ounce of fat on him for buoyancy and is black.  There is an 80% chance he drowns on the first episode.


Val Collins (35) Police Officer from Foxboro, Massachusetts (Jeremy’s Wife)




What she has going for her:

Police Officers have had a pretty good run of late on this show.  Likely, she has practice exerting her will upon other human beings.  You know, like when shaking down store owners for protection money and stuff.  She does, however, seem pretty cool compared to the Tony’s and Sarah’s they usually throw at us.

What she has going against her:

Val’s bio claims that her pet peeve is “liars”.  Coming on this show with such a pet peeve is like being deathly afraid of aquatic mammals and applying to be a trainer of starving orcas. 

Accustomed to having power, cops aren't typically very mellow when they don't get their way and start having temper tantrums.


John Rocker (39) Former MLB player from Atlanta, Georgia (Julie’s Sugar Daddy)




What he has going for him:

In order to become among the best in the world at something, you have to be focused and driven.  He’s already rich so he doesn't have the “scared money never wins” problems that plague those contestants who will need to eat out of dumpsters when they get back to The States.

What he has going for him:

John Rocker is a dick.

People don't like giving the million dollars to people who are already wealthy.

They abhor giving money to someone who is already wealthy and is also a dick.


Julie McGee (34) Owner of a Spray Tan business from Atlanta, Georgia (John’s Gold Digger)




What she has going for her:

Every Pet peeve she lists in her Bio seems to describe her boyfriend, John Rocker.  As someone who clearly enjoys emotional suffering, she should hold up well when things get tough.

What she has going against her:

She believes herself to be “the most observant person”.  An unusual quote as she does not provide a comparison.  Most observant in her office?  Of all spray tan professionals?  In the Universe?

I have a hard time believing that “trips to vineyards“, “cooking” and “working out” have served to turn this woman into a very tan Sherlock Holmes.  Confidence is helpful but delusion is fatal.


Josh Canfield (32) Singer/Actor/Writer from NYC (Reed’s Boyfriend)




What he has going for him:

He should have an intuitive and sound strategic mind as a fan of “Settlers of Catan”.  Players are sometimes reluctant to vote out gay contestants right out of the gate in fear of looking like homophobes and often underestimate gay men from a physical standpoint. 

What he has going against him:

Josh speaks about how life without music is depressing and that he would love to bring his piano and bible.  I've got news for you brother.  The only music you are going to be hearing is the angry voice of that bigot John Rocker yelling at you all day.  

If you need exterior sources to keep you sane in your studio apartment in the city, life on an island with 18 strangers and a single bag of rice is going to kill you.


Reed Kelly (31) Broadway Performer/Model/Aerialist from NYC (Josh’s Boyfriend)




What he has going for him:

I suspect that being a gay Broadway performer and Model from New York City who loves some of that “Old Time Religion” will confound some of the southerners and buy him the time he needs to lay his plans.

What he has going against him:

His pet peeves paint a somewhat diva-esque picture of this guy.  Reed doesn't like people who walk slowly on the sidewalk, slow baristas, and lazy individuals. 

  Everyone gets lazy after eating nothing but mouse feces in the sweltering jungle for 40 days.  Adjustment could be a problem here.


John Misch (26) Financial Assistant from Waterford Michigan (Jaclyn’s Boyfriend)




What he has going for him:

As an ex-college football player, he is undoubtedly a skilled and committed competitor.  As someone who enjoys researching wine, he is simply cool. 

His acumen playing the piano will help him find common ground with other artsy players.

What he has going against him:

Historically, accomplished athletes seem to have a pretty low tolerance for those they perceive to be burdensome on the team.  Without a couple cases of wine around to mellow him out, he may start screaming at people like Sam Kinison. 

His pet peeve is “people with too many pet peeves”.  If he doesn’t like listening to people bitch and moan then he’s on the wrong show.


Jaclyn Schultz (25) Media Buyer from Las Vegas (John’s Girlfriend)




What she has going for her:

There is not a guy on the Island who will want to vote out “Miss Michigan 2013” unless absolutely necessary.  While not all beauty queens are natural leaders, they are very seldom socially awkward. 
This lady will probably get along with people.

What she has going against her:

When asked what previous contestant she is most like, she answered “Jefra”.  
Jefra?  You mean the lady who let everyone else play the game and refused repeated opportunities to make smart moves to win the coin?  Setting a pretty low bar there Jackie. 

She also says that she wishes she could bring her bible to “keep her mind occupied”.  I would think that negotiating a treacherous Machiavellian landscape of greedy strangers and hidden enemies in a quest for a million dollars would keep your mind occupied but, well, I guess I’m just a blasphemer….


Keith Nale (53) Fire Chief from Shreveport, Louisiana (Wes’s Dad)




What he has going for him:

If the jungle catches on fire he’ll be able to get shit done.  He can try the old “swear on your badge” trick with that other firefighter guy Jeremy.  He claims to be a strong swimmer which is a definite bonus for a seasoned gentleman like Keith.

What he has going against him:

Anybody who says that one of the 3 things they would bring to the island would be “my truck” is kind of a yokel. 

I don’t know what impact it will have on the game, but I don’t think anyone not named “J.T.” has ever won survivor when phrases like “this here’s muh dawg” and “I caught me these fish” represent 40% of spoken words from week to week.


Wes Nale (23) Fireman from Shreveport, Louisiana (The Deadbeat that Lives in Keith’s Basement)




What he has going for him:

For a dude who lives in his parents’ basement he exudes self-confidence.  According to Wes, he will dominate challenges, woo the ladies, and schmooze the power brokers.  When another southerner says his name, it sounds like “West Nile” which is pretty cool I guess if you like mosquito-borne diseases…..

What he has going against him:

Wes is another candidate for early removal due to delusion.  He is also a prolific user of smokeless tobacco and addicts usually get themselves kicked out after the first week due to the general assholery brought on by withdrawal.


Missy Payne (47) Owner of a competitive cheerleading gym from Dallas (Baylor’s Bitter Mommy)




What she has going for her:

She is the owner of a business and is likely accustomed to dealing with difficult people or absorbing authority if it is thrust upon her.  As a business owner, she almost certainly appreciates the value of hard work.

What she has going against her:

Successful business owners are accustomed to being obeyed.  We saw what an insufferable jackwagon skeletal Shari became when people didn't tow the party line.  Missy’s bio suggests that she has tons of relationship baggage.  She lists “infidelity” as one of her pet peeves and will almost certainly have major trust issues with everyone.

On a side note, am I misunderstanding what having a pet peeve actually entails?  It seems that “Infidelity” is a little too serious to be considered a “pet peeve” but perhaps I am mistaken.  So in the spirit of transparency, the following are among my pet peeves:

1)      Grand theft
2)      Treason
3)      Murder


Baylor Wilson (20) Student at Belmont University in Nashville, Tennessee (Missy’s Daughter)




What she has going for her:

Who doesn't want a bubbly cheerleader around when starving, overheated, and exhausted?  I mean, come on!  That’s awesome!

She’s not threatening enough to warrant an early exit so she may hang on a while.

What she has going against her:

To be honest, I cannot come up with a single compelling reason to have the combination of this girl and her mother on this show unless it is solely for the purpose of a little eye candy or to see if her mom and can marry and divorce a 4th time before filming wraps.

There is simply no plausible scenario where Baylor wins Survivor. 

None.


Natalie Anderson/Nadiya Anderson (28) Crossfit coach from Edgewater, New Jersey (Same Chick)




What she has going for her:

Twins have eerie powers.  They will be able to switch tribes at any moment and nobody would be any the wiser.  

However, I read their bios and am not entirely convinced that they are different people.  In fact, I am certain that it is only through the power of special effects that we will believe we are actually seeing two unique individuals.

What she has going against her:

Since this is, in reality, only a single person acting like she is two people, the actress playing Natalie/Nadiya will probably be exhausted from running back and forth between camps and doing challenges simultaneously for two opposing teams.  

I am sure we will also hear her yell the word “twinnie” about 20 times an episode in an attempt to perpetuate the ruse.  This will make the other people want to punch her in the face.


I'll know more about these cats next week and do a breakdown by tribe.  Vaya Con Dios comrades!

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

NFL Week 3: Frey's Locks of the Week

2-2 

Again. 

It was looking pretty sweet as Indy was driving the field at will on their way to a comfortable 34-20 lead late in the 4th quarter Monday.

Then Chuck Pagano pulled Andrew Luck and replaced him with Tony Romo and 3-1 became 2-2.

Again.




Week 3


San Diego Chargers @ Buffalo Bills (-1)

Both of these teams are coming off of huge wins last week and have a great deal of momentum heading into this matchup.

Call it a hunch, but I have a feeling that San Diego may be feeling slightly overconfident after punking the Super Bowl champs last week.

Say what you will about the Bills, but it has been a long damn time since they had to worry about taking an opponent lightly.

Are the Bills and their fans feeling less shame than usual after 2 games?  Yes.

Is Overconfidence likely?  I think not.

Plus Phillip Rivers is a wang.

Yep.  A wang.


Bills win at home.


Baltimore Ravens (-1) @ Cleveland Browns

In week 1, Cleveland sucked horribly in the first half.

Last week, they sucked in the second half.

This week I think they will just suck.

If Cleveland was able to defeat 2 competent teams in consecutive weeks then they wouldn’t be the Browns.
Picture of me and my brother taken at the studio  just after the Browns last defeated two good teams in a row



Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints (-10)

If the Saints have any hope of salvaging both the season and their self-respect, they must make a statement this week at home against a team in disarray both on and off the field.

Matt Cassel’s Jekyll and Hyde performances are wearing thin and he no doubt can feel the immanency of the Teddy Bridgewater era.

Matt Cassel's parking space


Good thing they got the new stadium approved before this fiasco…..

Nervous Matt Castle? Check.

Hostile Road Environment?  Check.

Pissed-off and desperate Saints team?  Check.

New Orleans wins in a rout?  Check.


Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)

And so beginneth the days of Kirk Cousins.

Am I the only one who remembers how many Redskins fans bitched and moaned about “wasting a draft pick” on Cousins after mortgaging the future to attain RG III?

Shannahan is not looking like such an idiot now.

That having been said, I don’t think that Washington can hang points with Chip Kelly no matter how suspect Philly might be in the secondary.

It’s the Eagles.

It’s in Philadelphia.

It’s not the playoffs.





Season Record:  4-4


Thursday, September 11, 2014

NFL Week 2: Frey's Locks of the Week


In many ways, last week’s 2-2 record against the spread was akin to the Broncos’ victory over the Colts.

I didn't lose, but it still kind of sucked.



Time for a little redemption!


Week 2

Arizona Cardinals (-1.5) @ New York Giants

If the Giants’ defense opted for single coverage on a man called “Megatron” last week, it can only mean that they do not intend to cover Larry Fitzgerald at all.

Cardinals Cover.

I know this is off topic, but if Eli was half as cool as his Doppleganger from "Boardwalk Empire", the Giants would not be so shitty.


New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers (-8)

An acquaintance of mine cautioned me against this pick stating, “Did you see what the Jets’ Defense did against Oakland?”

The Jets once they saw who they got to play last week.


Isn't that kind of like saying, “Hey!  Did you see how many teeth that chick has compared to that group of 50 year-old women from the trailer park down yonder?”

I think the Pack desperately needs to make a statement at home after getting violated by the Seahawks and the Jets (even as a team sporting more teeth than perhaps we might have expected) is going to pay the price.



Houston Texans (-2.5) @ Oakland Raiders

I fully expect hundreds of people to be on hand to watch the Raiders’ home opener.

If Oakland’s offense struggled against the Jets they are going to friggin LOVE some JJ Watt.

I cannot fathom Houston not winning this game by at least a field goal but for some reason, Vegas seems to want to trap me here.

OK, I’ll bite.  Give me the annoying ski slope guys minus the 2 ½.

Yep.  Only about 2 months and I'll get to see these guys all over my mountains again...



Philadelphia Eagles @ Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

Here’s my reasoning on this one:

Both teams crapped the bed in the first half last week.

Both teams came on with a vengeance in the 2nd half.

1 team did it at home against a team that was 4-12 last year.

The other did it against the reigning AFC champs on the road.

Both these teams are flawed but I’ll take the home guys to cover.

I’m taking the Colts.

This guy + struggling Eagles secondary = Colts cover




Season Record:  2-2

Thursday, September 4, 2014

Free Coin: Frey’s NFL Locks of the Week!

For all real Americans (and some unusually cool foreigners) the beginning of the NFL season is like Christmas morning for secular children who like getting free crap.

And because everyone likes free crap, I have decided to spread the largesse of my wisdom among the bold.

Hop on the lift while it is on the ground floor my friends!


Week 1

New Orleans (-1.5) @ Atlanta

Unless I am plagued by a Roger Clemensian strain of “misremembering”, New Orleans is good and Atlanta is not.

"No your honor.  I think Frey is misremembering how crappy the Falcons are compared to the Saints."

Couple this with the fact that Atlanta fans are exceeded in apathy only by those front-runners in Miami and you have a recipe for a home loss.

Any dome advantage is, of course, negated by the fact that the Saints play in that big stinky hurricane shelter and the circle is complete.

I like the Saints to win and cover.


Minnesota @ St. Louis (-3)

Many people are saying, “The Rams can’t win.  I mean, who the hell is their quarterback going to be now that Bradford is done for the season again?”

Since the answer is not “Matt Cassel”, I think they will do better than the Vikings.  MUCH better….



The stout D and home field ensure that the Rams cover here.


Oakland @ NY Jets (-4.5)

The best thing about the Raiders is that their offense is always sure to get the ball back in their hands very quickly following their opponent’s possession.

The catch is that it always comes right after surrendering another 7 points.

When you are a 3-13 team that benches a defeated and demoralized Matt Schaub and people still ask, “What the hell are they doing?”, you know you are screwed.



This may be the only time this year I feel this good about the Jets.


Washington @ Houston (-2.5)

If you are going to bet on the Texans now is the time to do it.  Ryan Fitzpatrick hasn’t had the opportunity to suck horribly yet and Arian Foster has at least 2-3 games in him before hitting the IR.

Washington is going to be mediocre or worse no matter what time of year you wanna take them.

New logo after fiasco from 2013-2014


I’ll take a healthy Houston at home over a less-than-mediocre Redskins any day of the week.

The Houston Clownies win and cover.



Season Record:  0-0